Friday, October 24, 2008

OPEC Prances, Market Scoffs

On Friday morning, British (-5.00%), French (-3.54%), German (-4.96%), and Japanese (-9.60%) exchanges plummeted. On Friday afternoon, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 312.30 points.

Amidst this, OPEC reduced production. Unfortunately, oil plunged $3.96. In an international economic crisis, expectations are irrelevant.

Betting the Pass Line (Last Week: 2-3 Season: 19-15)

Buccaneers at Cowboys (-2)
Amidst innuendo and ruin, the Cowboys garner victory.

Chargers at Saints (+3)
In London, two very inconsistent squads. The Saints must win. Otherwise, they will never recover.

Cardinals (+4) at Panthers
Both possess spectacular offenses. With that stated, the Cardinals will win.

Giants at Steelers (-2 ½)
On December 14, 2004, the Steelers defeated the Giants 33-30. Eli Manning may have improved. However, Ben Roethlisberger remains superior.

Colts (+3 ½) at Titans
Currently, the Titans are 6-0. Peyton Manning, please restore reality.

Betting the Pass Line (Last Week: 3-2 Season: 24-16)

Texas Tech (+1) at Kansas
For two weeks, Texas Tech has struggled. Clearly, they are vulnerable. However, they will survive.

Kentucky at Florida (-25 ½)
Versus the Wildcats, Florida has won 21 consecutive contests. Kentucky should simply surrender.

Oklahoma State (+12 ½) at Texas
An offensive exhibition. Via a minimal margin, Oklahoma State will win.

Georgia at LSU (-1 ½)
Both must win. For three quarters, they will skirmish. In the fourth quarter, LSU prevails.

Penn State at Ohio State (+1 ½)
Since 2002, Ohio State has won five of six contests. Favor the Buckeyes. Favor Terrell Pryor.

John McCain: I Approve Your Message

NEW RULE

Hoaxes are harmful.

On Thursday, Ashley Todd was attacked. She was robbed. Into her cheek, “B” was carved. The African-American assailant’s motivation? Todd’s McCain bumper sticker. According to KDKA, this horrific incident never occurred.

Todd warrants maximum punishment. Her untruths are irrelevant. Her motivation is the issue. Todd’s story was coded racism. With a vile message, she targeted rural, undecided caucasians. Barack Obama is an African-American. African-Americans are violent criminals. Vote white.

Todd did not merely lie. She assaulted our democracy.

Rivals: A Superstar’s Obituary

For about a two-week period in early 2007, there wasn't a more famous college football player in the country than Boise State running back Ian Johnson. He scored the winning two-point conversion on a Statue of Liberty play to clinch the Broncos' stunning 43-42 Fiesta Bowl overtime victory over Oklahoma. Johnson - who ran for 101 yards and a touchdown against the Sooners - hadn't even finished his postgame interview when he got down on one knee and proposed to Boise State cheerleader Chrissy Popadics.

Johnson and Popadics spent the next week conducting a flurry of interviews on various morning news shows before marrying in Boise that summer. "It was more of an honor than anything," Johnson said as he looked back on his moment in the national consciousness. "It wasn't, 'Oh, wow, I'm the best this or the best that.' It's that it was truly an honor to be able to represent this team of good guys."

Two seasons later, Johnson's team just might return to center stage. Boise State is ranked 12th in the initial Bowl Championship Series standings and carries a perfect record into Friday night's game at San Jose State (9 p.m. Eastern, ESPN2). Yet this time, Johnson - a senior - isn't the star attraction. The player who led the nation in scoring and ranked second in rushing in 2006 hasn't run for 100 yards or carried the ball 20 times in a game this season. And the guy who leads all active college players with 49 career touchdown runs hasn't reached the end zone once in Boise State's past three games.

Johnson's reduced role puts his team-first attitude to the ultimate test. By all accounts, he's passing it with flying colors. "I miss it," he acknowledged. "But one of the things that's deeply rooted in me is I'm a winner. I want to win. I'd much rather be in the role I am now helping this team win games than to be getting the ball 30 times a game and losing."

Johnson, who finished eighth in the 2006 Heisman balloting, anticipated this new situation. He had the luxury the past two seasons of running behind a bruising offensive line that featured star left tackle Ryan Clady, who was selected by the Denver Broncos with the 12th pick in the NFL Draft. The departure of Clady and three other starters from last season's offensive line forced the Broncos to go away from the power running game that had worked so successfully the past two years. The emergence of redshirt freshman quarterback Kellen Moore has put more of an emphasis on the passing game.

Johnson remains the Broncos' leading rusher with 363 yards on 78 attempts, but he has averaged just 10.7 carries per game in Boise State's past three contests. Although he has rushed for at least 100 yards in 15 career games - including two 200-yard efforts - Johnson hasn't run for more than 97 yards this season. "If you look at this team, we're getting it done a little differently than the 2006 year," Johnson said. "2006 was a heavy running game. We were just going to shove it down people's throats and were scoring some 50-odd points a game (Boise State actually ranked second in the nation with 39.7 points per game).

"This year's team is still finding our identity, but we're doing it the best way for our team. ... We're a very unselfish team. There's really no one guy getting a lot of the limelight this year. Everyone's working together. We've got a bunch of young guys and a few old guys sprinkled in. Everyone's working to make us as successful as possible. Sometimes it means old guys playing special teams."

And, yes, that includes Johnson. You don't find many former Heisman contenders lining up for special teams duty that doesn't include kick returning, yet Johnson has added those duties to his list of responsibilities this season. Johnson has the team's top kickoff return average and also blocked a punt against Idaho State earlier this season. In Boise State's 37-32 upset of Oregon last month, Johnson provided enough pressure to force the Ducks' Josh Syria into a 3-yard punt. And Johnson recovered a fumble on a kickoff Oct. 11 in a 24-7 triumph over Southern Miss.

He also is having an impact in the passing game. Johnson had a career-high 106 receiving yards Oct. 1 in a 38-3 victory over Louisiana Tech. That's why Johnson's coaches insist he isn't necessarily a less productive performer. They instead consider him a more versatile player. "We're just able to use him more places than we have in the past, starting with special teams," Boise State coach Chris Petersen said. "We didn't have the luxury to do that. Now we can play him on special teams, which are important to us. He's doing a real good job of pass protection as well. He's not just here to carry the football."

Johnson's new role also should reduce the wear and tear on his body over the course of the season. Johnson missed a game in 2006 as a sophomore with a partially collapsed lung. He sat out two games with a bruised kidney last season, then missed most of the Broncos' Hawaii Bowl loss to East Carolina with a sprained ankle. Now that he isn't carrying the ball 20 or so times a game, Johnson has stayed healthy.

There's at least one major drawback to Johnson's new situation: Although his team-first approach to his new role has impressed his coaches, NFL scouts might not have the same opinion. Johnson considered turning pro after his junior season and even sought the input of the NFL Draft Advisory Board, which projected that he would get taken in the fourth or fifth round. Johnson had decided he didn't want to leave school unless he was likely to get picked in the first two rounds.

Rob Rang, a senior analyst for nfldraftscout.com, had rated Johnson as a potential third- or fourth-round pick before the season. Rang now considers him a fifth-round prospect even though Johnson should benefit from a weak senior running back class that doesn't feature any probable first-rounders other than Michigan State's Javon Ringer.

Even before the season, Rang was concerned about Johnson's slim hips and shoulders - as well as his lack of explosiveness. Even though Johnson has stayed healthy, Rang noted that the reduction in carries won't help Johnson answer any questions about his ability to withstand the NFL's physical pounding. "The fact he has struggled with durability the last two years and has now seen his carries drop - that's what's going to ultimately drop him down the board to the mid-second day range," Rang said.

Johnson insists he's a better player now than he was two years ago, even if his numbers suggest otherwise. He said his knowledge of the game has improved "tenfold" since his remarkable 2006 season. Johnson said he has beefed up from 192 pounds to 205, and he now considers himself bigger and faster than ever. The question is whether those extra pounds will outweigh Johnson's reduced rushing totals in the minds of NFL scouts. "I definitely believe I've helped myself," Johnson said. "How many guys can go from being a Heisman-caliber performer to having less than 10 carries a game and be OK with it and be happy? A lot of guys might not be able to be OK with that role. I truly am a team player."

If an NFL career doesn't work out, he will always have that wonderful January evening in Arizona. The sheer joy of capping an undefeated season and proposing to his bride in a matter of moments certainly was more than Johnson ever expected from his college career. Frankly, he didn't anticipate playing for any Division I program. Johnson wasn't highly recruited despite rushing for a school-record 1,751 yards his senior year at Damien High School in San Dimas, Calif. Oregon and Oregon State contacted him, but neither school made him a recruiting priority. Johnson was preparing to play for a junior college until Boise State stepped in at the last minute.

Boise State actually was recruiting Patrick Chung, a defensive back from Rancho Cucamonga (Calif.) High who now stars for Oregon. A Boise State coach was watching film of the Rancho Cucamonga-Damien game when he noticed Johnson, who rushed for about 190 yards in that game. "He asked Patrick, 'Is this guy worth going to see?' '' Johnson said. "He said, 'Definitely, go see him. He's right down the street.' They weren't even looking for running backs, and the next thing you know, within two weeks they offered me a scholarship. I finally found a school that wanted me as much as I wanted to play football."

Five years later, Johnson already has achieved more than he could have imagined. Maybe he doesn't have a 1,000-yard season in his immediate future, but he still has the memories of going undefeated and winning a BCS game. And he has the satisfaction of coming home every day to the love of his life. "I was always a very low-key guy and not a party guy," Johnson said of the adjustment to college life as a married man. "The only difference is on weekends when I'd watch soccer or what not, it's replaced by watching 'Desperate Housewives.' When I'd go home and watch football, now it's flipping between 'The Hills' and the football game."

Johnson's wife has taken time off from school to work in property management for apartment complexes as a way of paying the bills until they know about whether a football career is in their future. Johnson will graduate in December with a major in entrepreneurial management, but he is hoping to play in the NFL. Until then, Johnson and his wife are savoring the prospect of one more undefeated season, even if this one doesn't end with quite as much fanfare. "It was definitely the time of my life, being that spotlight guy, seeing (myself on) billboards and seeing my name on ESPN," Johnson said. "It's definitely something I want to get back to. I'm working harder than ever. ... That's something that would be great, that I'd love to have happen again, but it doesn't have to happen for me to be happy."

Survivor: Fang Implodes

On Thursday, Kota won their third consecutive immunity challenge. Subsequently, Fang clashed. Ace versus Kelly. Crystal versus Kelly. The petulance was pathetic. Via a 5-1 vote, Kelly was eliminated.

Justin, Spencer Showcase Puerility

Seemingly, Audrina, Brody, Doug, Heidi, Lauren, Lo, Spencer, and Stephanie enjoy perfection. Attention. Money. Opulent destinations. Private aircraft. Yet, they clash akin to toddlers over toys.

On Monday, Audrina and Cory enjoyed dinner. They discussed relationships. Cory is single. Audrina is varied. The next afternoon, Audrina, Lauren, and Whitney attended a barbecue. Audrina announced a surprise. To Brody’s birthday, Cory was invited. Brody and Frankie countered. Justin was also. Brody, Frankie, and Justin are dissimilar. Why invite him?

In Cabo San Lucas, Justin was an ass. He stole Audrina’s scrunchie. He threatened adultery. Audrina’s response was perfect. When Justin matured, they could talk. Audrina should dismiss him. Justin is cruel, manipulative, offensive, and rude. He is not relationship material. He never will be.

In Los Angeles, Spencer confronted Heidi. Her choice? Holly vacates the apartment. He vacates the apartment. Predictably, Heidi abandoned her sister. The next week, Heidi, Spencer, Stephanie, and her boyfriend attended dinner. Spencer embarrassed his sister. Clearly, Spencer’s abhorrence is unrestrained.

Worth A Read

The Daily Smak

Hey, didn’t you used to be retired?

According to the United States National Institutes of Health, doctors routinely proscribe placebos. Paris Hilton’s reaction? “If I’m sick, why would I need a gazebo?”

Today’s top five or this weekend’s attractions (1) 2008 World Series, (2) Giants at Steelers, (3) Oklahoma State at Texas, (4) Penn State at Ohio State, (5) Georgia at LSU

Thursday, October 23, 2008

Lute Leaves Stained Legacy

Commencements and conclusions. They encircle our lives. They enclose our every moment. Commencements alter our circumstances. They improve our status. They transform our expectations, prospects, and relationships. Conclusions are irrevocable. In one act, they can obliterate.

On Thursday, Lute Olson resigned. “This was not a decision that was made lightly,” he said. “I've had a wonderful run at The University of Arizona. I leave with a great sense of pride in what we have accomplished here. At this stage in my life, I want to devote my time to my children, grandchildren, great-grandchildren, family and friends. I look forward to watching Wildcat basketball and visiting with my colleagues in the coaching profession. It is time to pass the program on to a younger staff, to transition the university to the next generation of basketball.”

Athletic Director Jim Livengood’s reaction was scattered. “I do not have a decision at this point in time in terms of who's going to head our men's basketball program,” he said. “But that will be announced in the very, very short future. This has been a long day for everybody. Things were released, unfortunately, non-confirmed, a long time ago, and it seems like it's been hours and hours and hours.”

During his career, Olson amassed a 781-208 record. He won the 1997 NCAA Championship. He garnered thirteen conference championships. In Long Beach State, Olson racked a 24-2 record. In Iowa, he registered a 168-90 record. In Arizona, he logged a 589-188 ledger.

For 34 seasons, Olson was imperial and private. In 2007-2008, he was erratic and public. Everyone endures adversity. Every situation is individual. Unfortunately, Olson’s embarrassment mars his excellence.

Three Treat

Via a 29-22 vote, Mayor Michael Bloomberg (I-New York City) won. He can seek reelection. Ordinarily, I would oppose executive sovereignty. However, Wall Street is unstable. Bloomberg’s expertise is required.

Corporations Expel, Investors Enjoy

Dante’s Insinuation: I'm Available

Daunte Culpepper: “A number of teams have contacted me since my retirement announcement and have provided some important information that has caused me to reconsider returning to the league. As much as I have enjoyed my brief break from playing, I know that I love the game and I have some unfinished business in the NFL. It has never been because of a lack of passion for the game but rather the absence of a fair opportunity to complete and play that caused me to retire.”

“Now that there are some real opportunities that match my desire to play, I will choose the one that is the best fit for both the team and me so that I can continue my NFL career. For the second half of this season, I hope to play a role in helping a team win some games. I want to thank all of those who encouraged me to 'keep a light on' for the right NFL opportunity that would eventually come back to me.”

Alan Greenspan: America Cannot Escape Recession

Alan Greenspan: “Given the financial damage to date, I cannot see how we can avoid a significant rise in layoffs and unemployment. Fearful American households are attempting to adjust, as best they can, to a rapid contraction in credit availability, threats to retirement funds and increased job insecurity.”

NEW RULE

American should not provide terrorist’s tools.

Khalid Sheikh Mohammed requested internet access. On October 6, Judge Ralph Kohlmann rejected him. On Wednesday, Al Qaeda endorsed Senator John McCain.

I applaud Judge Kohlmann. Sans the internet, terrorism would exist. However, the obvious is unfortunate. For hate groups, the internet has been a phenomenal medium.

The Daily Smak

Hey, weren’t you Congresswoman Michelle Bachmann?

This week, AC/DC and Guns N’ Roses released albums. 1970 and 1980 phoned… They said “Enjoy their rejects.”

On Wednesday, a woman received eighteen months incarceration. Her crime? She prostituted her daughter. Dina Lohan, seek some help.

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Worry Street

On Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 514.45 points. Akin to 1987, this volatility will consume months.

Seattle Savior?

Robin Hayes... You Are An Ass

Amidst Investigation and Suspension, Johnson Reflects

Larry Johnson: “I want to start off saying I apologize to the Hunt family, my family, first and foremost, the fans, teammates, coaches and players. This is the first time in my life I actually had to stand up, I mean actually woke up and kind of be disgusted with myself and disgusted as far as the way my life and my career is heading right now.”

“And I promise not only to the fans, not only to teammates, players, coaches, GMs and my own family that I do anticipate seeking help to get better as far as getting my life on track, knowing what I want out of this life, not necessarily football, and just work as hard as I can not only being a good football player but obviously being a son of the National Football League, a son of my own family, hopefully a brother, a future father, future husband. In times of darkness, you've got to look for the light and that's what I plan on doing, regardless of what suspensions and fines are being handed down. I will take them as sincerely as they give them out.”

John McCain: I Love You, I Hate You

NEW RULE

Explanations require clarity.

Last week, Congressman Tim Mahoney admitted an affair. He admitted several affairs. Ironically, Mahoney supplanted Mark Foley.

During his press conference, Mahoney apologized, challenged criminality, confessed shame, invalidated hypocrisy, invited investigation, and refused resignation. I have whiplash. Traditionally, elected officials cheat and seek absolution. Mahoney released artillery and screamed “bring it on.”

Mahoney may be innocent. With that stated, apologies are scripted. Mahoney should have embraced this.

Worth A Read

Theodore’s World

Discussing politics. Supporting our troops.

The Daily Smak

Hey, didn’t you used to be the Elite XC?

According to the Associated Press, San Francisco may decriminalize prostitution. Simultaneously, they may criminalize the 49ers.

In Illinois, Jamie Day was arrested. Her crime? She bartended topless. Barack Obama’s reaction? “Chest you can believe in.”

Tuesday, October 21, 2008

Market Melee Continues

On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve injected cash. Simultaneously, Yahoo announced a payroll reduction. Fifth-Third, Key, M&T, National City, and Regions Financial plummeted. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 231.77 points.

America’s economy… One afternoon, recovery appears imminent. The next afternoon, recovery seems impossible.

Inspired, Irrelevant Choice

On Tuesday, the San Francisco 49ers promoted Assistant Head Coach Mike Singletary. Singletary is an exemplary individual. Unfortunately, he will not improve the 49ers.

Yahoo: “He Was Fighting Radicalism”

"Joe the Plumber" was only one of two Americans injected into the presidential election this past week. The other was Kareem Rashad Sultan Khan , whom former Secretary of State Colin Powell invoked in his endorsement Sunday of Barack Obama. Khan was a 20-year-old soldier from Manahawkin, N.J. , who wanted to enlist in the Army from the time he was 10. He was an all-American boy who visited Disney World after he completed his training at Fort Benning, Ga. , and made his comrades in Iraq watch "Saving Private Ryan" every week.

He was also a Muslim who joined the military, his father said, in part to show his countrymen that not all Muslims are terrorists. "He was an American soldier first," said his father, Feroze Khan . "But he also looked at fighting in this war as fighting for his faith. He was fighting radicalism."

Khan was killed by an improvised explosive device in August 2007 along with four other soldiers and an Iraqi interpreter while searching a house in Baqouba, Iraq . He's one of four Muslims who served in Iraq or Afghanistan and are buried in Arlington National Cemetery , where 512 troops from those wars now rest. About 3,700 of the U.S. military's 1.4 million troops are Muslims, according to Defense Department estimates.

Khan, a child of immigrant parents from Trinidad , was 14 when the Sept. 11 attacks happened. Feroze Khan said he remembered his son watching in stunned silence: "I could tell that inside a lot of things were going through his head."

Three years later, Feroze honored his son's request and allowed him to enlist him in the Army . "I told him: 'You are going to the Army .' I never said there is a war going on in a Muslim country. I didn't want him to get any ideas that he was fighting (against) his religion."

Feroze kept his fears for his son's safety to himself. His son was assigned to the Stryker Brigade Combat Team out of Fort Lewis, Wash. , deployed to Iraq in 2006 and fought on Baghdad's Haifa Street , a Sunni insurgent stronghold.

His tour was extended as part of the surge of additional U.S. forces to Iraq , and he called or messaged home often until he was deployed to restive Diyala province, where he was under fire too often to contact home regularly. But he prayed every day, his father said.

One Sunday morning, his son sent an instant message: "Hey Dad. Are you there?" Feroze Khan was out, and he saw the message when he returned.

A few hours later, his ex-wife called. Soldiers had knocked on her door in Maryland. Their only child was dead. A few minutes later, soldiers appeared at Khan's door. "I guess it helped that I knew beforehand," he said. "There are no words to describe it."

Kareem Khan was a month from finishing his tour when he was killed. On Sunday, Powell said that Khan's sacrifice and service had swayed him to discuss the way that Muslims have been portrayed in the presidential campaign, and the contention that Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama is a Muslim.

Obama "is a Christian," Powell said. "He has always been a Christian. But the really right answer is, 'What if he is?' Is there something wrong with being Muslim in this country? The answer is no. That is not America." He added: "I am troubled that within the (Republican) Party we have these kinds of expressions" suggesting that Obama is a Muslim, and that if he is, he likely associates with terrorists.

Powell said that he felt strongly about the issue after he saw a photo of Khan's tombstone in the New Yorker magazine . In the black-and-white picture, Khan's mother is resting her head on her son's tombstone. On each side of the stone are flowers, and in between is a copy of the Quran. On the face of the tombstone is a crescent and star, indicating that the soldier buried there is a Muslim. "He was an American," Powell said.

Fox News: Republicans Are Burning

Connecticut Rep. Christopher Shays has been in Congress for 21 years and is the Republican Party's last remaining representative from a state in New England. Come Election Day, he could be gone. Shays is in a competitive race, against Democratic challenger Jim Himes -- a face-off that underscores the problems congressional Republicans will face two weeks from now.

Not only is the GOP expected to suffer double-digit losses in the House and lose at least a handful of Senate seats, but among the potentially vanquished are long-serving, powerful and strategically placed members of the Republican Party. Their defeat could only deepen Republican frustrations in a Congress that has become increasingly controlled by Democrats.

A poll released Monday by the University of Connecticut showed the race for Shays' District 4 seat has become a dead heat, with each candidate pulling 44 percent. "That would be very difficult for the party, to have no beachhead in an entire region of the country," said David Wasserman, House editor for The Cook Political Report. "It's hard to pick out a place where Democrats were ever that shut out when they were a minority. Republicans would be starting from scratch trying to get anything back there."

The Himes campaign has taken to calling the Democratic challenger the "front-runner," based on the latest poll numbers. Himes spokesman Michael Sachse said in an e-mail that the economic turmoil of the past few weeks contributed "added strength" to Himes' candidacy, and that "voters see Jim as someone who both shares their values and as someone who has the energy and ability to solve the critical problems we face."

Himes, a former Goldman Sachs vice president, now runs an affordable housing organization. Michael Sohn, Shays' campaign manager, told FOXNews.com it would be a big loss for the GOP if voters elected "another partisan politician to Washington" over a "moderate" like Shays.

But Sohn said Shays' chances are good, and that the campaign is drawing attention to his record of speaking out for years on energy issues and the problems at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. "The bottom line to it is we've lived through this before," Sohn said. "Chris is in the center of the political spectrum. He works with Republicans. He works with Democrats.... This district knows Christopher -- they have a bond with Christopher."

Another GOP congressman in peril is Don Young of Alaska, who was first elected in 1973. He is the third longest-serving Republican member in the House and he is the 49th State's only congressman. Young, famous for pushing earmarks like the so-called Bridge to Nowhere, is under investigation for ties to oil field services company VECO Corp. He has spent more than $1 million from his campaign war chest on legal fees and is facing off against Democratic former state Rep. Ethan Berkowitz. His Republican primary race against Lt. Gov. Sean Parnell, which Young won by just over 300 votes, foretells a stiff battle in the general election.

The Cook Political Report calls the Alaska race a toss-up, while others say it's clearly leaning Democratic. Analysts also point to Ohio Rep. Steve Chabot (first elected in 1994), Pennsylvania Rep. Phil English (first elected in 1994) and Michigan Rep. Joe Knollenberg (first elected in 1992) as examples of other veteran House Republicans at risk of losing their seats. "Shays is close to his Waterloo," said Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia Center for Politics. "And Young is there."

On the Senate side, another Alaska political stand-by is very much in danger of losing his seat. Sen. Ted Stevens, the Republican Party's longest-serving senator, is in a tight race against Anchorage Mayor Mark Begich. Stevens' federal corruption trial, in which he is facing charges of failing to report gifts, has dragged on during the height of campaign season.

His electoral fate may hinge on the verdict of his case, which is in its closing stages after Stevens took the stand to testify in his own defense. A Rasmussen Reports poll on Oct. 7 showed him leading Begich by 1 percentage point. "If he's exonerated in court, there's always the chance the home flock will decide to pat him on the back and give him another six-year term, but I think there's a decent chance he will lose whether he's exonerated or not," Sabato said.

Even Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky is facing a challenge on Election Day. He easily led his opponent, millionaire Democrat Bruce Lunsford, for most of the campaign season. But as the economic crisis enveloped Wall Street and Washington, McConnell, like many other Republicans, saw his race grow more competitive.Political forecasters show the Kentucky Senate race as leaning Republican. "If you were going to bet on any Republican to survive this extremely difficult year, it would be Mitch McConnell," Sabato said.

But Michael Barone, political author and FOX News analyst, said the latest poll numbers don't bode well for McConnell. A Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll in late September showed McConnell leading Lunsford by just 1 percentage point. "You've got to think that McConnell may be in some trouble," said Barone, who predicts the GOP will suffer an 18-seat loss in the House and will lose as many as six seats in the Senate.

The Republican Party's operation is hampered by President Bush's low approval ratings and the economic turmoil, as well as the get-out-the-vote fervor behind Barack Obama's presidential campaign and the fact that five times as many House Republicans have chosen not to run for re-election as House Democrats. Among those leaving are Rep. Vito Fossella, the only Republican from New York City, who was convicted last week of drunk driving. His seat is rated by analysts as leaning Democratic in the general election. Sabato said the Election Day forecast places the Republican Party "in the wilderness for at least two years" as they sideline their agenda and "wait until Democrats screw up."

He said the plus side for the GOP -- especially if Obama wins the White House -- is everything that happens internationally and domestically will "belong" to the Democrats, including the negative developments. Wasserman said Republicans likely will see major internal turnover. He said voter frustration over the $700 billion economic bailout plan may open the door for younger, more conservative members to rise through the ranks after Election Day and call on the party to listen more closely to its base.

"The party is burning to the ashes right now," Wasserman said. "I think there will be major changes not only in committees but potentially in leadership."

Michelle Bachmann Should Shut Up

NEW RULE

Intent is prosecutable.

In Colorado and Oklahoma, Chase received five letters. The envelopes contained white powder. Fortunately, the substance was innocuous.

Following September 11, 2001, Americans remain catatonic. Terrorism still terrifies. Can they attack? How will they attack? Where will they attack? The anxiety will not subside.

Monday’s attack exploited this. The perpetrators warrant maximum punishment. They may not have injured. They may not have murdered. However, their intent was obvious. Anxiety. Fear. Terror. This was not a prank. This was emotional assault.

The Daily Smak

Hey, didn’t you used to be Darius Miles?

According to the London Daily Mail, psychologists can cure terrorists. Can they cure Britney Spears?

Today’s top five or next potential firing (1) Marvin Lewis, (2) Rod Marinelli, (3) Gary Kubiak, (4) Wade Phillips, (5) Andy Reid

Monday, October 20, 2008

Republicans Shut Up… Powell Spoke the Truth

On Sunday, former Secretary of State Colin Powell endorsed Senator Barack Obama. African-American supports African-American. Disgruntled castoff seeks retribution. Republican rationalizations are irrelevant. For the “individualism philosophy,” Powell is their standard. His endorsement is a nightmare.

Concerning Republicans, Powell and I concur. Our party is unrecognizable. Once, we advocated smaller government and extensive opinion. Today, we placate the angry, egomaniacal, and insipid evangelical. We must reform. Otherwise, Powell’s exodus will include others.

Colin Powell Endorses Barack Obama, Excoriates Republicans

Colin Powell: “I know both of these individuals very well now. I've known John for 25 years as your setup said. And I've gotten to know Mr. Obama quite well over the past two years. Both of them are distinguished Americans who are patriotic, who are dedicated to the welfare of our country. Either one of them, I think, would be a good president. I have said to Mr. McCain that I admire all he has done. I have some concerns about the direction that the party has taken in recent years. It has moved more to the right than I would like to see it, but that's a choice the party makes. And I've said to Mr. Obama, ‘You have to pass a test of do you have enough experience, and do you bring the judgment to the table that would give us confidence that you would be a good president.’”

“And I've watched him over the past two years, frankly, and I've had this conversation with him. I have especially watched over the last six of seven weeks as both of them have really taken a final exam with respect to this economic crisis that we are in and coming out of the conventions. And I must say that I've gotten a good measure of both. In the case of Mr. McCain, I found that he was a little unsure as to deal with the economic problems that we were having and almost every day there was a different approach to the problem. And that concerned me, sensing that he didn't have a complete grasp of the economic problems that we had. And I was also concerned at the selection of Governor Palin. She's a very distinguished woman, and she's to be admired; but at the same time, now that we have had a chance to watch her for some seven weeks, I don't believe she's ready to be president of the United States, which is the job of the vice president. And so that raised some question in my mind as to the judgment that Senator McCain made.”

“On the Obama side, I watched Mr. Obama and I watched him during this seven-week period. And he displayed a steadiness, an intellectual curiosity, a depth of knowledge and an approach to looking at problems like this and picking a vice president that, I think, is ready to be president on day one. And also, in not just jumping in and changing every day, but showing intellectual vigor. I think that he has a, a definitive way of doing business that would serve us well. I also believe that on the Republican side over the last seven weeks, the approach of the Republican Party and Mr. McCain has become narrower and narrower. Mr. Obama, at the same time, has given us a more inclusive, broader reach into the needs and aspirations of our people. He's crossing lines--ethnic lines, racial lines, generational lines. He's thinking about all villages have values, all towns have values, not just small towns have values.”

“And I've also been disappointed, frankly, by some of the approaches that Senator McCain has taken recently, or his campaign ads, on issues that are not really central to the problems that the American people are worried about. This Bill Ayers situation that's been going on for weeks became something of a central point of the campaign. But Mr. McCain says that he's a washed-out terrorist. Well, then, why do we keep talking about him? And why do we have these robocalls going on around the country trying to suggest that, because of this very, very limited relationship that Senator Obama has had with Mr. Ayers, somehow, Mr. Obama is tainted. What they're trying to connect him to is some kind of terrorist feelings. And I think that's inappropriate.”

“Now, I understand what politics is all about. I know how you can go after one another, and that's good. But I think this goes too far. And I think it has made the McCain campaign look a little narrow. It's not what the American people are looking for. And I look at these kinds of approaches to the campaign and they trouble me. And the party has moved even further to the right, and Governor Palin has indicated a further rightward shift. I would have difficulty with two more conservative appointments to the Supreme Court, but that's what we'd be looking at in a McCain administration. I'm also troubled by, not what Senator McCain says, but what members of the party say. And it is permitted to be said such things as, "Well, you know that Mr. Obama is a Muslim." Well, the correct answer is, he is not a Muslim, he's a Christian. He's always been a Christian. But the really right answer is, what if he is? Is there something wrong with being a Muslim in this country? The answer's no, that's not America. Is there something wrong with some seven-year-old Muslim-American kid believing that he or she could be president? Yet, I have heard senior members of my own party drop the suggestion, "He's a Muslim and he might be associated terrorists." This is not the way we should be doing it in America.”

“I feel strongly about this particular point because of a picture I saw in a magazine. It was a photo essay about troops who are serving in Iraq and Afghanistan. And one picture at the tail end of this photo essay was of a mother in Arlington Cemetery, and she had her head on the headstone of her son's grave. And as the picture focused in, you could see the writing on the headstone. And it gave his awards--Purple Heart, Bronze Star--showed that he died in Iraq, gave his date of birth, date of death. He was 20 years old. And then, at the very top of the headstone, it didn't have a Christian cross, it didn't have the Star of David, it had crescent and a star of the Islamic faith. And his name was Kareem Rashad Sultan Khan, and he was an American. He was born in New Jersey. He was 14 years old at the time of 9/11, and he waited until he can go serve his country, and he gave his life. Now, we have got to stop polarizing ourself in this way. And John McCain is as nondiscriminatory as anyone I know. But I'm troubled about the fact that, within the party, we have these kinds of expressions.”

“So, when I look at all of this and I think back to my Army career, we've got two individuals, either one of them could be a good president. But which is the president that we need now? Which is the individual that serves the needs of the nation for the next period of time? And I come to the conclusion that because of his ability to inspire, because of the inclusive nature of his campaign, because he is reaching out all across America, because of who he is and his rhetorical abilities--and we have to take that into account--as well as his substance--he has both style and substance--he has met the standard of being a successful president, being an exceptional president. I think he is a transformational figure. He is a new generation coming into the world--onto the world stage, onto the American stage, and for that reason I'll be voting for Senator Barack Obama.”

President, Bernanke May Save Christmas

Concerning another stimulus package, President Bush and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke are receptive. Upon hearing this, the Dow Jones Industrial Average soared 413.21 points. Congress cooperates. Americans receive money. Anyone unhappy?

San Francisco Transition: 49ers Nix Nolan

On Monday, the San Francisco 49ers fired Coach Mike Nolan. During his tenure, Nolan logged an 18-37 ledger. Upon his firing, the 49ers stood 2-5.

From 1981-1998, the 49ers accrued 229-83-1 record. They amassed five Super Bowl championships, five NFC championships, and thirteen NFC West championships. They also recorded sixteen playoff appearances. Since 1999, San Francisco has fired Steve Mariucci, Dennis Erickson, and Nolan. Clearly, the franchise requires a resurrection.

GAME BALLS (NFL Edition)

Ryan Grant (RB – Packers): 31 carries, 105 yards, 1 td
(Win: 34-14 vs. Colts)

Steven Jackson (RB – Rams): 25 carries, 160 yards, 3 td
(Win: 34-14 vs. Cowboys)

Willis McGahee (RB – Ravens): 19 carries, 105 yards, 1 td
(Win: 27-13 at Dolphins)

Sammy Morris (RB – Patriots): 16 carries, 138 yards, 1 td
(Win: 41-7 vs. Broncos

Clinton Portis (RB – Redskins): 27 carries, 175 yards, 1 td
(Win: 14-11 vs. Browns)

Steve Smith (WR – Panthers): 6 receptions, 122 yards, 1 td
(Win: 30-7 vs. Saints)

GAME BALLS (College Football Edition)

Keola Antolin (RB – Arizona): 21 carries, 149 yards, 3 td
(Win: 42-37 vs. California)

Sam Bradford (QB – Oklahoma): 36/53, 468 yards, 3 td
(Win: 45-31 vs. Kansas)

Chase Clement (QB – Rice): 30/43, 444 yards, 6 td
(Win: 45-40 vs. Southern Mississippi)

Jason Ford (RB – Illinois): 19 carries, 172 yards, 3 td
(Win: 55-13 vs. Indiana)

Shonn Greene (RB – Iowa): 25 carries, 217 yards, 4 td
(Win: 38-16 vs. Wisconsin)

Graham Harrell (QB – Texas Tech): 44/56, 450 yards, 3 td
(Win: 43-25 at Texas A&M)

David Johnson (QB – Tulsa): 21/27, 434 yards, 5 td
(Win: 77-35 vs. UTEP)

Dennis Kennedy (RB – Akron): 25 carries, 277 yards, 3 td
(Win: 42-35 at Eastern Michigan)

Brennan Marion (WR – Tulsa): 6 receptions, 233 yards, 3 td
(Win: 77-35 vs. UTEP)

Colt McCoy (QB – Texas): 29/32, 337 yards, 2 td
(Win: 56-31 vs. Missouri)

Lesean McCoy (RB – Pittsburgh): 18 carries, 156 yards, 3 td
(Win: 42-21 at Navy)

Knowshon Moreno (RB – Georgia): 23 carries, 172 yards, 1 td
(Win: 24-14 vs. Vanderbilt)

Charles Pierre (RB – Florida Atlantic): 24 carries, 192 yards, 2 td
(Win: 24-20 at Western Kentucky)

Chris Wells (RB – Ohio State): 31 carries, 140 yards, 2 td
(Win: 45-7 at Michigan State)

Senator Bill Calls Our Nightmare

Senator Joe Biden: “Mark my words. It will not be six months before the world tests Barack Obama like they did John Kennedy. The world is looking. Remember I said it standing here. If you don't remember anything else I said. Watch, we're gonna have an international crisis, a generated crisis, to test the mettle of this guy. And he's gonna have to make some really tough -- I don't know what the decision's gonna be, but I promise you it will occur. As a student of history and having served with seven presidents, I guarantee you it's gonna happen.”

Obama’s Grandmother Dying

According to Yahoo, Madelyn Payne Dunham’s, Barack Obama’s grandmother, condition is grave. The Obama family has our thoughts and prayers.

Jacksonville Jailbreak

On Monday, Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Matt Jones was suspended for three contests. Jones’ punishment is insufficient. He should sacrifice this season.

Cub Conundrum

On Monday, the Chicago Cubs retained General Manager Jim Hendry. Hendry signed a four-year contract. Chicago’s decision is intriguing. Hendry has resurrected the Cubs. He warrants reward. Unfortunately, playoff appearances are insufficient.

Family Guy… McCain, Palin Are Not Nazis

NEW RULE

Racism exists. However, this is stupid.

According to a study, the “Bradley effect” may reverse. Instead of poll support and vote opposition, Senator Barack Obama may receive poll opposition and voter support. I have whiplash. Bradley Effect? No Bradley Effect? Racism defeats Obama? Obama defeats racism? Shut up! In the 1982 California Gubernatorial, the Bradley effect was relevant. Why? Tom Bradley was the candidate.

Obviously, racism exists. With that stated, pundits are clueless. Obama is a singular situation. Bradley and Doug Wilder were statewide campaigns. 1982 California. 1989 Virginia. 2008 America. The models are incomparable.

If the polls are inaccurate, I will apologize. Until this occurs, shut up! National and state models are incomparable. Thus, a national “effect” is unpredictable.

Worth A Read

Slashfood

Blogging breakfast, lunch, dinner, and desert.

The Daily Smak

Hey, didn’t you used to be undefeated?

This weekend, the Philadelphia Inquirer endorsed Senator John McCain and Senator Barack Obama. Apparently, ACORN registered every voter twice.

On Sunday, the St. Louis Rams defeated the Dallas Cowboys 34-14. Despite intense criticism, Coach Wade Phillips remains employed. On Monday, President Bush said “Wade, you're doing a heck of a job.”

Sunday, October 19, 2008

Yahoo: United States’ Struggle Suffocates China

Unemployed worker Wang Wenming was angry at his boss for shutting down a massive Chinese factory this week that made toys for Mattel Inc., Hasbro Inc. and other American companies. But the assembly line worker was also furious at the United States. "This financial crisis in America is going to kill us. It's already taking food out of our mouths," the 42-year-old laborer said Friday as he stood outside the shuttered Smart Union Group (Holdings) Ltd. factory in the southern city of Dongguan.

The company, which has struggled as global growth has slowed in recent months, employed 7,000 people in mainland China and Hong Kong. It wasn't immediately clear how many have lost their jobs. Economic upheaval in the U.S. is already changing and shrinking China's vast manufacturing hub in the southern province of Guangdong, long regarded as the world's factory floor. However, factory closures won't just be a China problem — shoppers will feel the effect in malls and stores in the U.S. and Europe.

"When these companies go bust, the outcome is higher prices," said Andy Xie, an independent economist in Shanghai. "Labor costs have gone up 70 to 100 percent in the last three or four years. But these guys have not been able to raise their prices because Toys "R" Us, Home Depot and Wal-Mart are saying no price increase. How is that possible?"

For years, there were too many factories competing to win bids from foreign buyers demanding prices that were often unrealistically low. The winners were American and European consumers, who enjoyed rock-bottom prices. But many factories were scrimping on materials and stiffing their suppliers just to survive, Xie said. The financial crisis will be the final culling factor that forces many wobbly factories to go belly up and end an unsustainable situation, he added.

Already, China's toy industry is hurting. The official Xinhua News Agency reported this week that 3,631 toy exporters — 52.7 percent of the industry's enterprises — went out of business in 2008. The causes: higher production costs, wage increases for workers and the rising value of the yuan, the report said. Nor is Christmas likely to make much difference. Big toy giants generally put in their Christmas orders months in advance so toys can be shipped to them in time.

Even before the financial crisis, China's exports were dropping because of the slowdown in America and Europe. For the first time in three years, the growth rate for Chinese exports in the first quarter of 2008 declined, according to customs figures. Chan Cheung-yau, chairman of toy and games subcommittee under the Chinese Manufacturers' Association of Hong Kong, agreed that the outlook was gloomy for toy makers. He predicted that thousands more factories would close in China next year. "The tightening credit market has made it more difficult for manufacturers to raise funds," he said. "It has created a huge cash flow problem."

Workers at the Smart Union toy factory said that for several months the plant was less busy and paychecks were arriving late. "The management said the problem was that our American customers weren't paying for the goods they ordered so the company couldn't pay us," said worker Shao Xiaoping, who was still wearing his blue company shirt with a red patch above the pocket that said "Smart."

He was among 100 workers who on Friday gathered outside the gates of the factory, a sprawling five-story complex covered in white and blue tiles discolored by dust and smog. About 2,000 other laborers protested outside the local government's offices, demanding that the Hong Kong-based company pay their wages, severance and other benefits. The building was guarded by a line of 50 riot police with shields and clubs.

The workers said the Hong Kong-based owner of the factory didn't warn them before the plant closed Wednesday. "I've been working here for eight years. I have no idea whether I'll ever get paid. The government says we will, but I'm not optimistic," said a man in a white sleeveless undershirt who would only give his surname, Zhang. Most workers wouldn't completely identify themselves for fear speaking to the press would cost them their wages.

A sign posted by the local government on the factory gates said workers could be detained for 10 to 15 days for stirring up unrest, unlawful gathering, protesting and ignoring orders from security officials. Calls to Smart Union's offices in Hong Kong went unanswered. On Friday, the company said in a filing to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange that it informed Hong Kong's High Court that is has stopped operating and was seeking buyers.

Last year, the company, listed on Hong Kong's stock market, said in a financial report its core customers included Mattel, Hasbro and Spin Master Ltd. The company's stock was suspended from trading Wednesday. In another report this year, the company reported a pretax loss of US$25.9 million (HK$201 million) in the first six months.

Higher manufacturing costs — including a 20-percent rise in the cost of plastic — took a big bite out of profits, along with the 7 percent appreciation of the yuan, it said. The company was also hammered when Mattel and other toy giants recalled millions of Chinese-made toys last year because of safety concerns, the company said. Although Smart Union wasn't directly involved in those recalls, "the product recall incident badly affected the toy industry," it said.

Most of China's toy factories are in Guangdong province — the main laboratory for the bold economic forms China began 30 years ago when it began shifting away from communism. The province was a good place to start dabbling with capitalism because it shares a border with Hong Kong, the main gateway into China for foreign investors.

Companies from Hong Kong, Taiwan, America and Europe flooded into the province to set up low-cost factories that made everything from sneakers and bras to laptops and iPods. The booming region close to Hong Kong became known as the Pearl River Delta. Most of the factory closures are happening in the Pearl River Delta, and the changes didn't seem to bother one of the province's highest-ranking economic officials, Vice Governor Wan Qingliang.

In a briefing with foreign reporters this month, Wan said the global economic crisis wouldn't deter the provincial government from pressing on with a sweeping plan to restructure the Pearl River Delta's manufacturing base. He said the government wanted low-end factories to move farther into China's interior so that they could be replaced with more high-tech, advanced industries. "We have a policy to empty the cage for the new birds," he said. "The ultimate target is to build the Pearl River Delta into the core region of modern manufacturing."

Unbeaten Trio Best BCS

1. Texas (7-0)
2. Alabama (7-0)
3. Penn State (8-0)
4. Oklahoma (6-1)
5. USC (5-1)
6. Oklahoma State (7-0)
7. Georgia (6-1)
8. Texas Tech (7-0)
9. Ohio State (7-1)
10. Florida (5-1)

Live From New York… It’s Sarah Palin

The Big Five

For reasons good and bad… they were the news.

The Hot Five

A quintet of sizzling conversation starters.

Bipartisan Beauty

On Sunday, ABC’s This Week hosted a discussion. George Stephanopoulos’ guests included Donna Brazile, Thomas Friedman, David Gergen, Newt Gingrich, and George Will. America requires these conversations. They are consequential, inclusive, and realistic. Following the election, I hope they continue.

Line of the Morning


Senator John McCain (R-AZ)

“I've been on enough campaigns to sense enthusiasm and momentum, and we've got it.”